> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.polyranger.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# How to Create a Predict

A **Predict** is a single yes/no question attached to an **Event** — the broader topic
it belongs to. For example, an Event might be "2026 FIFA World Cup" and a Predict could
be "Will Brazil win the tournament?".

To get started, click `Create Predict` in the navigation or go directly to
[polyranger.com/prediction-market/create](https://polyranger.com/prediction-market/create).

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/11-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=9833381ae6847a9e22453b38e4441b3e" alt="Create predict entry" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/11-2.png" />
</Frame>

You'll land on the creation page with two options:

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/12-1.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=b393f1349a26272fd79a73ee0eb1bf1d" alt="Creation options" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/12-1.png" />
</Frame>

* **Create a new Event** — launch a brand new topic and attach a Predict to it
* **Attach to an existing Event** — add a new Predict to an Event you've already created

***

## Option A — Create a new Event and Predict

### Step 1. Fill in Event details

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/13-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=29427a74c8f417a88d6efd2b4b88a179" alt="Event details" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/13-2.png" />
</Frame>

Provide the following — all fields are required:

| Field           | What to enter                                       |
| --------------- | --------------------------------------------------- |
| **Title**       | The name of the Event (e.g., "2026 FIFA World Cup") |
| **Description** | Context that helps traders understand the topic     |
| **Tags**        | Category labels for discoverability                 |
| **Image**       | A cover image for the Event page                    |

### Step 2. Fill in Predict details

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/14-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=059d3c19a55720226920876b2daa43d0" alt="Predict details" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/14-2.png" />
</Frame>

Define the specific question traders will bet on — the outcome must be clearly resolvable
as **YES** or **NO** based on a publicly verifiable event.

### Step 3. Configure Outcome Reward and Mint Share

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/15-6.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=50c16097dcfc265990dcf82063c0db50" alt="Reward config" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/15-6.png" />
</Frame>

These two parameters control how liquidity incentives are distributed at market launch.

**Outcome Reward** — the total USDC pool allocated to reward liquidity providers for
this market. When users mint positions (YES / NO) or add liquidity, they receive a
pro-rata share of this pool.

**Mint Share** — the percentage of the Outcome Reward reserved specifically for users
who mint positions during initialization. The rest goes to liquidity providers who
participate after launch.

<Info>
  Example: Outcome Reward = 100 USDC, Mint Share = 40% → 40 USDC goes to early minters,
  60 USDC is distributed to liquidity providers over time.
</Info>

When you mint, you deposit USDC and receive YES / NO outcome tokens in return.

### Step 4. Initialize

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/18-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=1a20934d800023cfc5243202fb9fb993" alt="Initialize" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/18-2.png" />
</Frame>

Click `Initialize`. You'll need to sign **two separate transactions** in your wallet —
one for the Event and one for the Predict.

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/16-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=68108c5af255ad43a568ceab8ea86aaa" alt="Transaction 1" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/16-2.png" />
</Frame>

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/17-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=19921238d6c51e9d5659580711ccc69e" alt="Transaction 2" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/17-2.png" />
</Frame>

Once both are confirmed, your Event goes live and appears in your created Events list.
You can attach more Predicts to it at any time.

***

## Option B — Attach a Predict to an existing Event

Use this when you want to add a new question to a topic you've already created.

**1.** Click `Attach to existing event` on the creation page.

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/19-1.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=405e59b9738d0b8ce11f4757bb1e24b1" alt="Attach option" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/19-1.png" />
</Frame>

**2.** Find your Event in the list and click `Attach` next to it.

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/20-2.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=b549a1fc6ee3a3d233a4497081264753" alt="Event list" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/20-2.png" />
</Frame>

**3.** Fill in the Predict details — same fields as in Step 2 above.

<Frame>
  <img src="https://mintcdn.com/polyranger/YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r/images/21-1.png?fit=max&auto=format&n=YMskJqxMMn9LEj3r&q=85&s=0b0301bcddf181ef3048ee65a6321440" alt="Predict details attach" width="1684" height="984" data-path="images/21-1.png" />
</Frame>

**4.** Click `Create Predict` and sign the transaction in your wallet.

<Tip>
  Adding multiple Predicts to a single Event increases its depth and makes it more
  attractive to traders — more questions mean more ways to engage with the topic.
</Tip>
